Whenever you are in doubt, recall the face of the poorest and the weakest man. Gandhi An invasion of armies can be resisted, but not an idea whose time has come. Victor Hugo True peace is not merely the absence of tension, it is the presence of justice. Martin Luther King, Jr. Do what is right. Rosa Parks *

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Henceforth, the Keys to the Future are Responsibility, Solidarity, and Courage
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?????????????

??? Chen Lichuan ¤ 13 September 2010
Related themes: Democratization ¤ Economic globalization ¤ Energy governance ¤ Environmental governance ¤ Evolution of the role of the state ¤ Low-carbon economy ¤ Peace building ¤ Role of regions ¤ Sustainable society ¤ Values and principles ¤ World-governance building strategies
Translations: 中文 (original) .

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????????????????????????????????????????????????2008????????2010??????????????????????????????????????????????

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????????????????????????????????“?????”??????????????“?????”???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2009?6?4????????????????????????????“????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????”??????????????????????2010???????????????????????

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????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????20%???????60%??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2020?????????????????2005???40%—45%???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????1991????????????????????????????????45??????????????60??2008 ????????3?2000?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????400?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2004??????????????900??????????????????????????????2009?6?23?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2050??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????4.12????????????????????30%?70%????????????????•???Martin Jacques????“????????????????????” ?

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?????????????????????????????“????????”????????????????????40%???2009?????????30????????????70%?2009??????????????1985??????????????6%??????????????IEA????2010??????????300?350???????????????200???????????????40%?????????????????2020?????????????5%???20%????????????????2009?????????????????346?????????186????????112???????????1999??????????????????1%?2008????32%?????????????150????

?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????40%??????????????????2010??????????????????????????????????????2015???????????????????30%?2020????40%?

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?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2009?7?15???????????????????????????????1500????????????????????????????????????2010?4?30????????????????????? ?????1000????????????????????????????????

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?1842???????????“????”??1898?????????“????”????????“??????” ????????1911?????????????1949???????????????????????????????????1949??1978????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????1978???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

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???????????????????????????????????????????????????????“???????”?John Rawls???????????????????????????????“????”?????•??Amartya Sen?????“????”?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????•??“???????” ???????????????????????????????????????? “?????”?????????????????•?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????“????”?“?????????”?“????????????”???????????????“????”????“?????”?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????

????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????•???????“????????????????????????????” “?????”????????????????????????????????????????????????????“?????”????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2002??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????84%??????????????????61,9%??????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????18?????????????19?????????????20?????????????????????????????18???19?????????????19???20????????????????????????????????20??????????????????1944?4?21??????????1945?????????????????????????

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?????21???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????“??”?“??”???????????????????????????????

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

?“????”????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????“????”??????????????????????????????????42.9%??????????????15.5%?????????????50%??????????????????????????“?????”????????????????????????????????????2010?5?11??????“???????”?????????????????????????????????????????????????????“?????????”???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

???????????????????????????????????????“????”?“?????????”???????????????????????????????“????”?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

“????????????”???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

2010?9?

?1????????????????????2009?7?17?—18???????????????????????????????????????????????????•???Gustavo Marin?????•???Arnaud Blin?????????????????????????????????????????????

?2?2010??????????????2400????????????????1500???????????630???????????????1200???????????????????????

?3???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2006?1?1????????????????????????????????????????1100???????3500???????????????????4600???

?4?James Steinberg, US deputy secretary of state, raised the concept of "strategic reassurance" in which he outlined several areas where China needs to clarify its intentions, the growth of military power being one of them.?

?5?www1.voanews.com/english/news/a-13-2009-09-24-voa57-68821807.html

?6???•??????????????????????2010??214??

?7????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

?8?????“??”????????????????????1990??3??

?9?1978????????????????????“????”???????????????“????”??????????1978?12????????????????????????????????????????????????“?????????‘????’?”???????????????1980?9????????????????????????????????????????1982—1983?????????????????

?10?Amartya Sen, "Democracy and its Global Roots", in The New Republic, October. 2003.

?11?????????????????????????557????????????????1975???

?12?Pierre Rosanvallon, "L’universalisme démocratique?: histoire et problèmes", ESPRIT, Janvier 2008, p.118.

?13??? How East Asians View Democracy, New York, Colombia University Press, 2008, “China: Democratic Values Supporting an Authoritarian System par Tianjian Shi, page. 217.

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